Analytical Delusion wrote: Thu Aug 28, 2025 12:58 amI didn't think my comment would be that controversial.
I mean...
Analytical Delusion wrote: Wed Aug 27, 2025 6:43 pmSomething like this could never happen in NYC where I live given the high degree of crime from homeless/
migrants/junkies,
You singled out migrants as being indicative of higher crime in the city. There isn't any way around this: this comment is the literal dictionary definition of racism. I wouldn't jump to that if there were ANY wiggle room here, but there simply isn't.
This topic has been
studied and analyzed to death for countless years now:
and every single bit of it shows that
migrants are not in any way the
drivers of crime, either
in New York, or throughout
the U.S. in general writ large. Hell,
in many instances they
actually help REDUCE crime rates.
This point has literally be one of THE central pillars of conservative politics for far, far longer than anyone on this forum has been alive, and certainly in particular throughout the past 10 years especially. This 1000% irrational fear has literally been the central fuel that has catapulted Trump to the presidency twice now, with all the death, hate crimes, economic failures, and general misery that has brought with it.
You cannot possibly expect to simply casually restate this incredibly, exhaustingly tired-as-hell point, and not expect any number of people here to roll their eyes and groan, at a bare minimum. People have been hearing this nonsense repeated and regurgitated endlessly now for decades and decades, and even MORE pointedly in just this past decade... and all its lead to is
a significant uptick in hate crimes against minorities,
completely needless persecution of immigrants in general, and further enflamed racial tensions and resentments all around leading to immigrants in the U.S. being
plunged into a hellish state of constant fear and paranoia of
other Americans they're trying to live peacefully among.
Its even lead to a partial, minor INCREASE in overall crime rates, as people who either are immigrants or have friends and loved ones who are immigrants are now LESS likely to report a crime for fear of getting themselves or someone they know deported. Its disincentivized people to call the police when something happens, leading in effect to more crime. And its also lead to increases in violence against immigrants.
In short: the idea that migrants mean more crime has been a hatefully racist stereotype that is both COMPLETELY unfounded/counterfactual and has been nonetheless heavily weaponized to basically make life in general vastly, vastly more miserable and shittier for anyone unlucky enough to currently be living in the U.S. as an immigrant. Its been debunked and disproven time and time and time again, yet millions of people (like apparently yourself) continue to believe it and promote it, and its allowed some of the worst monsters in the country to rise to the highest levels of power and make life vastly more horrible for basically most average, ordinary people.
So yeah: that's going to be a clearly controversial statement and its going to attract at least some degree of hostility. Don't act shocked.
Analytical Delusion wrote: Thu Aug 28, 2025 12:58 amI've lived in NYC since 2009 (and prior to college from 05-09 in CA, lived in the suburbs). Violent crime started to decline earlier this year, but it's above its pre-pandemic levels:
Some quick perspective here:
When you say that violent crime in NYC is still above its pre-pandemic levels, we're talking about an absolutely
minuscule level of difference here: particularly in the grand scheme of New York overall. At the very, very peak of crime's Covid pandemic boost up in NYC, it was still at less than
1/6th of where it was at its worst during the height of the "old" New York.
You say you've been living in the city since 2009? As I said, I have vivid, living memory of it during the 80s and early 90s: the very, very,
very worst of the Covid pandemic crime bump was
barely a tick-bite on the ass of where things used to be in this city. And now its even that much less so as it continues to fall once more.
At the point we've been at, even during and after Covid, we're literally examining these fluctuations in NYC crime rates with a goddamned jeweler's loop.
We're splitting hairs here over literally single digit percentages. Low,
low double digit
at worst.
So when you say "crime is still higher in this city during and after Covid", my response to that is: "Relative and in proportion to WHAT exactly?" Because this seems to be seriously lacking in some basic overall perspective here.
And speaking of perspective, lets compare New York to a few other notable American cities:
Note that I'm ordering this list solely by
violent crimes rather than
all crimes (violent and non-violent) overall.
Per FBI statistics, these are the current top 30 most dangerous, violent crime-ridden cities in the entire United States as of this year.
Notice which city is
nowhere to be found here? Per the FBI, with the a few notable exceptions like California, New Jersey, Baltimore, and so on,
the 30 most violent cities in the country can almost entirely be found in largely deep rural and midwestern states. The number one most dangerous city in the United States, in terms of overall violent crime, being
Memphis Tennessee. Yep, home of Graceland.
Fucking
Anchorage Alaska is apparently a VASTLY more dangerous and crime infested city than NYC. Anchorage Alaska! Little Rock Arkansas, home to Bill Clinton, is 4th! The
4th most dangerous, violent city in the country in the year of our lord 2025 is fucking
Little Rock! Albuquerque New Mexico of all places, subject of one of the single most goofy-ass Weird Al songs ever, is currently
the 13th most violently dangerous city in the entire U.S. "Albucrazy" indeed!
So where on this list exactly is The Big Apple you might ask? Just a bit further down maybe? Somewhere in the 40 or 50 range perhaps?
Nope, guess again:
Big bad New York City is, per 2025 FBI crime statistics, the
67th most dangerous, crime-ridden city in the U.S. Goddamned
Tulsa Oklahoma is higher on this list! In 2025 today, you're literally less safe -
substantially less safe - in Tulsa than you are NYC!

Hell, even
Des Moines Iowa is apparently even slightly higher up/slightly more dangerous than NYC is these days! Even Iowa has cities more violent than NYC is today, and
barely anyone lives in that fucking state as it is!
Spokane Washington has more than triple the number of rapes/sexual assaults that NYC does!
If you went back in time and told my child-self circa 1990 - back when me venturing into NYC meant going somewhere astronomically, breathtakingly more lethal and dangerous than my own normal hometown stomping grounds, which were already plenty lethal and dangerous enough as it was - that I would someday grow up into a world where
NYC was safer and less dangerous than fucking Anchorage Alaska, Little Rock Arkansas, Albuquerque New Mexico, Des Moines Iowa, Spokane Washington, and Tulsa Oklahoma... I would've thought that the future must be some kind of goddamned utopia or something.
Fuck man,
the entire state of Alabama has more than double the crime rate of just New York City alone! The whole state!
And just for funsies, lets narrow our focus down to just murder rate alone. Here's what the FBI top 30 most murder-happy cities list then looks like:
The list suddenly gets even MORE rural/midwestern than before! We hear so much about Chicago's murder rate in the news every single day week in and week out: and while its indeed fairly high up at number 22, note the cities that
dramatically outpace it in murder rates.
Birmingham Alabama is the current number one murder capital in the United States! Where's the moral panic about what's going on in Birmingham? Or Shreveport Louisiana? Or Louisville Kentucky? Or St. Louis, which comes in a close second behind Birmingham in
highest rate of murders in all of the U.S.?
And where oh where is The Big Apple on the murder list?
Even vastly lower down the ladder than it was when we did violent crime overall, at 127!
"New York City: the 127th most murderous city in America." Doesn't really strike fear into one's heart when put into perspective, does it?
Analytical Delusion wrote: Thu Aug 28, 2025 12:58 amThe city felt its safest in my lifetime when Bloomberg was mayor.
Two things here:
First, note your own words: the city
felt safest.
Felt. We're not going off of facts or reality here: we're literally going off of vibes here, per your own words. Many, many things in life can FEEL safe or unsafe. Highly so even. That doesn't necessarily correlate to those things actually BEING safe or unsafe in actuality though.
I can go into an empty, dark room and FEEL plenty unsafe: that doesn't mean I'm actually in any danger, does it? I can likewise sit in my home chilling in broad daylight and feel safe as can be: but that can quickly change on a dime as soon as a severe storm rolls through.
Once again kids, all together now....
Second point: you highlighting Bloomberg's mayoral tenure, of all people. When we talk about New York "feeling safer" during the Bloomberg era, its supremely important to ask "felt safer to
whom exactly"?
I too well remember the Bloomberg years. And while crime in the city was continuing its by then many, many years long rapid plummet downward, Bloomberg's mayoral run was largely defined by something else altogether: a little law enforcement policy called Stop & Frisk. Which by most accounts
did absolutely fuck-all nothing to contribute to the fall in violent crime across the city, and instead
only fueled and increased the rates of
police abuse, harassment, and discrimination against
overwhelmingly black and Hispanic citizens.
To the point where black and Hispanic New Yorkers
suffered severe, life-altering PTSD and depression leading to
falling grades, lack of
trust in the community, and
less employment.
Bloomberg's ultimate long-lasting legacy as NYC mayor was twofold:
further increasing economic disparity and inequality, and needlessly traumatizing the city's minority communities with
pointlessly invasive and
abusive (to say nothing of racist) policing tactics. Abuses whose effects still linger on to this day under Adams.
Whatever good happened in NYC during the bulk of the 2000s occurred
in spite of Bloomberg,
not because of him.
In short,
fuck Michael Bloomberg, and fuck anyone who defends what he did to black and Latino New Yorkers as being in any way contributing to the "safety" of the city.
Analytical Delusion wrote: Thu Aug 28, 2025 12:58 amI'm sure it's still safer than it was in the 70s and 80s, but it's frightening,
especially to women.
For context on this: sexual assault is the one and sole lone category of crime in NYC that has increased to any even vaguely significant degree post-Covid (and even then, we're still talking within the 20% range at most). While this is unquestionably awful and serious (and I cannot stress that point enough), it bears reminding that the current sexual assault numbers are
only marginally higher than they were under Bloomberg - who was mayor from 2002 to 2013 - during even their lowest years in his tenure (which would've been around 2007 to 2010 or thereabouts).
Like I said before: taken in the grander scheme of things here,
we're examining what are ultimately and comparatively small-scale fluctuations through a jeweler's loop here. Compared to even the late 1990s (when the worst was already well and truly over with) these numbers are still
incredibly fucking low. They're higher than they were under the best years of Bloomberg's reign... but not by THAT much. And those SA rates certainly weren't as low as they were under Bloomberg because of anything he did as mayor.
And to once more return to the FBI chart and have it adjusted to solely gauge rape and sexual assault rates by city nationwide, lets look at the top 30 first:
Oof. Jeez, what the fuck are they putting in the drinking water up in Anchorage these days?
And numbers 3 through 5 on the list are all cities in Ohio, Vice President JD Vance's home turf (though I don't think any of those Ohio rape numbers are counting upholstery fwiw).
And so where then does New York City find itself ranking on the list of most rape-happy cities in the U.S.?
Its lowest ever placement yet, at 164. The one specific area of violent crime that had
by far increased the most post-Covid (in relative proportion to the others that is), and the city overall still only clocks in as the 164th most rapey city nationwide.
Like I said before: context, perspective, and proportionality - in terms of not just the history of the city itself, but also where it relates to other cities all across the country - are all super key things to keep in mind here when discussing both increases and decreases in NYC's crime statistics.
Are you serious? You're in
Chelsea?
Dude...
dude! You literally live in one of the
nicest, most upscale areas of the entire city (that isn't like ultra-ultra mega-rich anyway, like Park Avenue or whatnot). What the hell are you scared of? You're in Chelsea?! I can't even...
For all the non-New Yorkers here, this is the area of the city were Analytical Delusion (on-the-nose perfect name for this post by the way) lives in:
And to further hammer this point home, here's a condo located just a few blocks from Delusion's apartment (and right near where one of the crime incidents they linked to took place):
Yeah... South Bronx circa 1988 this ain't.
Look, speaking for myself as someone who grew up during and in the midst of an absolute and utter violent crime/gang-torn hellscape... I don't like diminishing the impact that ANY violent crime has on anyone. Violent crime is a deeply,
deeply traumatizing, horrific experience for anyone to have to undergo, and I don't wish it on
anyone for any reason.
I've been there, I've had guns pulled on me at a disturbingly young age and I'd been stabbed twice before I was even 12 years old: I fucking get it man.
As of today however, and without doxing myself any further than I already have here, I'm lucky enough to live in an incredibly safe, safe town. These days I live literally right next to the beach, and crime is as near to non-existent where I now live as you can reasonably expect. Its safe enough you can walk down the street all by yourself at 2:00 in the morning, and literally no one will bother you, ever.
That having been said... even here where I am now, in this safe-ass little town, we had a shooting incident just a couple of days ago within a 30 minute walk from my house. And several years back, I have distinct memories of a double homicide that took place in a small bar that's only a 15 minute walk from my house. A bar I'd been to myself many times before. I could've just as easily been unlucky enough to have been in it the night those two murders took place there.
This wasn't in my old childhood city mind you (the one that even to this day is a cesspit of violent gang activity, and currently dwarfs NYC's violent crime rate overall):
this all happened in my current, present town, which is overall and normally about as safe as an episode of the Sesame Street.
Am I scared to go out late at night because of those incidents? Am I combing the local news shaking in terror for stories about crime surges?
Absolutely not. No. Because even in the safest neighborhoods in the safest towns in the safest parts of the world...
...ugly, terrible shit still happens sometimes.
A 100% absolute and utter crime-free utopia
is literally impossible. We can get awfully, awfully close to one, sure... but even in the best-case scenario safest most near-utopia you can get, sometimes on random occasions, people are still going to go crazy, act out violently, and seriously harm or kill someone. That is NEVER, ever going to fully 100% go away and stop. Ever. Even under the BEST possible conditions and circumstances. Even in fucking Chelsea New York.
When old people romanticize the 1950s and whatnot... understand, this applies to even back then. Even in the Leave it to Beaver and Ozzie & Harriet days,
people still got murdered and raped and robbed. Ed Gein, one of America's most notorious and heinous serial killers, was active in that same time period. When old people romanticize the past, they are quite literally just
romanticizing the past. Hell, oftentimes the past in most cases was usually WAY WORSE, way less safe, way more violent, and way more dangerous even!
At the end of the day, it is monumentally important to maintain and understand perspective and proportionality.
Anything can happen to any one of us at anytime, in any place. No matter how safe it normally may be. That's a fundamental fact of life. Any moment your number could be up, even when you least expect it and feel the most safe and secure.
You can take that knowledge and either live in paranoid, paralyzing terror of it, constantly looking over your shoulder for that 1% possibility you might be one of the super unlucky few to run into the next Ed Gein or Ted Bundy...
...OR you can just keep that bit of insight in your back pocket, have some basic, common sense street smarts because of it, and otherwise
just live your fucking life as normal and don't let yourself be ruled over by fear and paranoia.
Me personally? Having survived my share of violence growing up, I choose the latter. All day, any day. And all I can do beyond that is simply recommend that other people do the same.